Exactly two weeks before the elections of March 17, the VVD remains at a lonely height in the Polling Guide, with 37 to 41 seats in parliament. It is true that the trend has been declining slightly for Prime Minister Rutte’s party in recent months, but the loss is not significant compared to two weeks ago.
Far behind the VVD there is a broad midfield, in which the PVV (17 to 20 seats) and the CDA (17-19) are undiminished the largest.
New is Volt, a pan-European party that is active in all EU countries. The party of party leader Laurens Dassen amounts to 0 to 3 seats. The score for Volt is still uncertain, because the game has only recently been included in the Polling Guide.
To get into the Polling Guide, a party must score a seat at at least two of the three agencies included in this weighted average: I&O Research, Ipsos and Kantar. JA21 by Joost Eerdmans and Annabel Nanninga already succeeded, this time getting 0 to 2 seats.
Will the record be broken?
If these newcomers indeed managed to reach the electoral threshold in mid-March, then for the first time in history fifteen different parties would enter the House of Representatives. The highest number to date was achieved in 1933, 1971 and 1972, when fourteen parties succeeded.
Polling guide: fragmentation unprecedented with fifteen parties that have a chance of winning a seat
Source link Polling guide: fragmentation unprecedented with fifteen parties that have a chance of winning a seat