What are value bets? Your guide to value betting in football

This is a fantastic approach to turn random betting wins into a guaranteed monthly Passive Income. This is an excellent idea, and it may even be superior than the typical FA’s match predictions. It allows for long-term gambling success.

What exactly are we talking about? Value Bets. Although this isn’t the most well-known way of gaining an edge over bookmakers, it is one of the most efficient at producing consistent revenue. But what exactly is a value bet in football? And, more importantly, how can you make one? Let’s take a look at some of the factors to consider.

What is Value Betting?

Value Betting is a form of betting that can be used to take advantage of flaws in the football betting market. Unlike simple bets such as betting on btts results or over/under goals, this might result in a lot higher significant gains. When the actual percentage of victory is greater than the offered odds by bookmakers, ‘Value’ enters into play.

To properly explain this sort of betting, I’ll give you an example. Because football is passionate, there are a lot of ill-founded assumptions about the sports betting realm as a result of emotion. To combat this, value betting isn’t about selecting a winner; that’s too much of a risk. Rather, it’s all about maximising your anticipated return.

You’re betting on something that hasn’t happened yet, but which will thrive if given enough time. Take Manchester United versus Norwich City as an example. The chances on this game are likely to go Manchester United’s way and give them odds of around 1/3 to Win, a Draw at 4.5/1, and a Norwich City Win at 7.5/1.

At these odds, which may be expressed as a percentage using the handy odds converter tool, Man U Win 75%, Draw 19%, Norwich City Win 12% are the percentile chances. The house margin is calculated by adding up all the winning bets and dividing them by the total number of bets. This figure is higher than 100%, which is known as the house margin. It’s this advantage that allows you to extract the most value from Value betting.

Given the chances, you’d anticipate a draw to have a 25% chance of winning. While the odds are merely going up to 19 percent. In this case, a Value bettor would not wager on Manchester United winning because of the low probability.

Why would you do this? 

This approach of betting on football isn’t about predicting the winner. It’s all about making the most of your profit margin to ensure that multiple bets deliver consistent earnings. You calculate chances within margins. Although these margins are often considered to be at most a 2% to 4% margin, they typically work out at around a 2% to 4% margin.

What if it goes wrong?

When it comes to Value bets, the profit margin is narrow, so mistakes may cost you money. Intuition, on the other hand, is more essential. Even if the numbers add up in some cases, football fans and bettors just have a gut feeling about certain matches and outcomes.


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